Risk measurement in profitability calculation of non-financial investment

نویسندگان

چکیده

In the paper a model of non-financial investment profitability calculation is presented. It based on concept quantile risk measures and real option valuation. Application Monte Carlo simulation allows to receive probability distribution Net Present Value (NPV) implement like Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR), (NPVaR) or Expected Shortfall (ES) in relation NPV (ES (NPV)). The main contribution article implementation ES that shows average worst losses regarding NPV. informs investors what result project may be.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Kwartalnik Nauk o Przedsie?biorstwie

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2719-3276', '1896-656X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33119/knop.2023.67.1.6